Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.964818 3.293970 3.649887 4.064208 4.534337 5.052448 5.668344
2025-03-23 2.560285 3.018631 3.549766 4.214232 5.028089 5.998603 7.252721
2025-03-30 2.231682 2.746768 3.374584 4.203194 5.278552 6.641331 8.522102
2025-04-06 1.985580 2.528471 3.217370 4.166816 5.458846 7.181246 9.694546
2025-04-13 1.727881 2.260125 2.957417 3.952341 5.359329 7.314558 10.303091
2025-04-20 1.596276 2.141180 2.876855 3.961771 5.553789 7.857320 11.542813
2025-04-27 1.509042 2.071873 2.853312 4.041978 5.848415 8.565270 13.109006
2025-05-04 1.432949 2.009646 2.831126 4.116975 6.135953 9.285078 14.778930
2025-05-11 1.357825 1.941315 2.792079 4.159179 6.371522 9.941544 16.423025
2025-05-18 1.288410 1.875081 2.749150 4.188491 6.584754 10.578169 18.110715
2025-05-25 1.191367 1.759509 2.621270 4.069637 6.539124 10.768472 19.011245
2025-06-01 1.121022 1.679887 2.542799 4.023016 6.608066 11.159478 20.331498
2025-06-08 1.053838 1.602189 2.464001 3.972866 6.672405 11.560714 21.754970
2025-06-15 1.031857 1.595086 2.498589 4.118494 7.099855 12.680317 24.803238
2025-06-22 0.981650 1.538386 2.446690 4.107662 7.237763 13.262518 26.813943
2025-06-29 0.931417 1.478231 2.384412 4.072227 7.324155 13.750425 28.691793
2025-07-06 0.855634 1.370566 2.233753 3.863385 7.055096 13.487240 28.818654
2025-07-13 0.822063 1.332835 2.202038 3.872568 7.216241 14.133122 31.180161
2025-07-20 0.801767 1.316644 2.206903 3.950672 7.523003 15.123999 34.550482
2025-07-27 0.781904 1.299875 2.209326 4.023696 7.825727 16.142048 38.175919
2025-08-03 0.758658 1.275623 2.196308 4.064788 8.064124 17.043096 41.663028
2025-08-10 0.735148 1.249480 2.177957 4.093327 8.277461 17.911365 45.227394
2025-08-17 0.694293 1.189456 2.092320 3.977604 8.159101 17.970872 46.505199